A look at the 2025 NFL season using TPR

IamCogs
3 hours ago
35 min read

It's that time of the year again. With the 2025 NFL season firmly in our review mirrors, I finally got some time together to get the 2025 TPR (True Passer Rating) chart together. 66 quarterbacks made at least 1 start in the 2025 season, 7 more from the 2024 season, which saw 59. Much like last season, there are some surprises at just about every tier, which will be broken down in the following way:

MVP Front Runner Quarterbacks
Franchise Quarterbacks
Solid Starting Quarterbacks
Fringe Starting Quarterback
Replacement Level Quarterbacks
Unplayable Quarterbacks
Young and Developing Quarterbacks

Before we get into the breakdown, there is one improvement I made to this list from 2024. Last year I counted sacks wholesale for all ungraded quarterbacks, which, in hindsight, may have impacted TPR scores overall more negatively than I anticipated. This season with the grading of seven quarterbacks, it give me a large enough sample size to find an average number when it comes to at fault sacks. I applied that average across every start charted that had a sack recorded, then round to the nearest whole number to find the at fault sacks for every quarterback, this gives as a better picture by using at-fault sack league averages as opposed to blanketing sacks as all at-fault.

Overall TPR scores across the league saw an increase from 88.4 aTPR leaguewide in 2024, to 94.0 in 2025 aTPR leaguewide, which further shows the benefit of not blaming 100% of sacks on quarterbacks I did not grade this year, which in hindsight may be a mistake I need to retroactively correct.

Here are the numbers for each and every start from 2025, with average TPR on the far right column. (Click on the image to expand it, you can also find this chart here.)

Quarterbacks who made 10+ starts will be covered in the tiers below, as well as quarterbacks who have a history of being a starting quarterback. Tiers are based off the 2025 season alone, and not indicative of a players entire career.

It is once again worth noting that these rankings are based solely off their TPR scores, and don't take into account QB grading, or personal opinion. Nor does it reflect historical performance or data, this is rankings from the 2025 season alone.

MVP Front Runner Quarterbacks

This tier, like the name suggests, is saved for the best of the very best. These Quarterbacks play at a level that only a few can reach, and as such have been named MVP in the past, or deserve it in the future.

1.) Drake Maye, New England Patriots

Change in rank from 2024: ▲#4 Young and Developing (81.4 aTPR)

2025: 148.8 Average True Passer Rating

17 Starts, 4,394 Yards, 31 TD, 8 INT

72.0% Comp%, 9.5 ADOT, 113.5 Rating

2024 3rd Overall Pick, 2x Pro Bowl, 1x Playoff Appearance

The talent has always been there for Maye, it was just a matter of putting it on tape. Last year he finished 4th in the "Young and Developing" category as the Patriots, team-wide, had a real lack of talent to surround the young quarterback. Enter 2025, and the Patriots make a run at the Superbowl with Drake Maybe leading the way as one of the leagues best quarterbacks, and the number one TPR quarterback in 2025.

Maye was 8th in the NFL in deep throw % (13.7%) hitting an impressive 51.2% adjusted completion mark, good for 4th in the league. Only 1 quarterback threw for more yards throwing deep in 2025, that being Matthew Stafford. He was tied for 5th in deep touchdowns with 9 on the year.

Maye recorded just 2 games below 100 TPR on the year, showing incredible consistency throughout the season. He also recorded the single highest single game TPR score against the Miami Dolphins in week 17 with a 239.7.

The future looks bright with the offense solidly in the control of Drake Maye.

2.) Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams

Change in rank from 2024: ▲9, 108.2 aTPR

2025: 145.0 Average True Passer Rating

17 Starts, 4.707 Yards, 46 TD, 8 INT

65.0% Comp%, 9.5 ADOT, 109.2 Rating

3x Pro Bowl, 1x AP CPOTY, 1x Super Bowl Champion, 1x MVP

Funnily enough this is the second year in a row where the actual NFL MVP finished second in the league in average TPR, when Josh Allen finished second in TPR with 133.5 while Lamar Jackson sported the league leading average TPR of 156.5.

Anyways!

Stafford had a fantastic season, where he lead the league in touchdowns, yards, big time throws, 2nd in NFL passer rating, and 2nd in PFF deep level passing grade. His 12:1 TD:INT ratio deep is the best of any quarterback in the top 10 of deep passing, and that's with the detriment of attempting the most deep passes by any quarterback in the league by 12 attempts. His 50.0% adjusted completion % was good for tied for 5th, and no quarterback had more big time throws deep than him.

The eventual MVP had a renaissance in the 2025 season, recording just 2 games with a TPR below 100, and just 3.8 points shy of Maye for the number 1 overall spot. His 2025 season also includes 7 games with a TPR score north of 150.

Stafford had a big jump in Average TPR from 2024 to 2025, improving from 11th with a 109.2 aTPR.

3.) Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers

Change in rank from 2024: − 133.3 aTPR

2025: 136.2 Average True Passer Rating

15 Starts, 3,381 Yards, 23 TD, 6 INT

66.3% Comp%, 9.2 ADOT, 101.2 Rating

2020 26th overall pick

Love finishes the 2025 season in the same slot he did in 2024 when he posted a 133.3 aTPR. It may be a surprise to some but Jordan Love's game benefits very well from the TPR model, and him decreasing his turnover worthy rate (2.7%, t8th best in the NFL) only serves to bolster his numbers.

This is not to say he isn't deserving of being 3rd, he definitely is. Love finished 9th in adjusted completion % deep (47.3%), attempted the 6th most deep throws in the league, and was tied for 5th in the league in ADOT (9.2). Loves penchant for attacking the intermediate and deep levels of the field, with now the added bonus of a reduction in turnover worthy throws has made him one of the best quarterbacks to attack those areas.

Love also finished 3rd in quarterback grading per PFF with an 88.5. Loves love of pushing the ball deep, and now with the added bonus of reducing those mistakes makes him a very dangerous quarterback, and if his weapons develop in Green Bay, watch out NFL.

The Green Bay passing attack looks to be in good hands with Jordan Love.

Franchise Quarterbacks

Reserved for long-term leaders, this tier features quarterbacks capable of elevating a roster and sustaining success. They may not hit MVP heights every season, but they’re the definition of franchise pillars.

4.) Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

Change in rank from 2024: ▲12, 98.4 aTPR

2025: 127.1 Average True Passer Rating

17 Starts, 4,552 Yards, 30 TD, 10 INT

67.3% Comp%, 8.6 ADOT, 99.5 Rating

4x Pro Bowl, 2016 AP Offensive RotY

After and injury shortened 2024, Dak Prescott put together a very strong 2025 where he did not miss a single start and quarterbacked one of the top offenses in the NFL, finishing 3rd in passing yards and 4th in passing touchdowns.

Prescott had just 2 full starts all year record a TPR south of 100, and his 3rd start was in the season finale where Joe Milton III took the bulk of the snaps after Dak started the contest. He posted a very strong 6 starts of 150.0 TPR or higher as he benefitted from two premier wide receivers in George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb, both of whom combined for over 2,500 yards in receiving.

The added deep ball threat of Pickens made Prescott the 2nd most prolific quarterback in deep passing yards, as he finished with 1,150, while sporting a healthy 47.9% adjusted completion %, good for 10th in the NFL. He also tied Caleb Williams for second in total big time throws deep (25), and also tied for 2nd in overall big time throws with Bo Nix (31).

All this combined to have Dak jump a whole 12 positions from 2024 where he finished 16th in aTPR.

5.) Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers

Change in rank from 2024: − 118.2 aTPR

2025: 125.9 Average True Passer Rating

9 Starts, 2,167 Yards, 20 TD, 10 INT

69.4% Comp%, 8.0 ADOT, 100.5 Rating

1x Pro Bowl

Purdy struggled with injuries to begin the year, missing 6 of his first 8 starts due to a lingering issue with turf toe. But to close out the season Purdy was as productive as ever, which included a stretch of games between weeks 15 and 17 where he averaged 173.5 TPR, including a season high mark against the Chicago Bears of 193.1, a shootout win that saw Purdy account for 5 total touchdowns.

His deep ball was excellent, hitting on 60.0% adjusted on them, a league-wide best. But that number is slightly aided by his 24.0 yards of ADOT on those throws, dead last of 42 qualified quarterbacks. His big time throw % also suffered a bit here, finishing 31st.

But his consistency both deep, and in the intermediate (where he hit 70.6% adj%, 3rd in the NFL) is what made Brock so dangerous executing the Shanahan offense to perfection and moving the ball well despite a near turn style of offensive supporting cast.

6.) Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears

Change in rank from 2024: ▲#3 Young and Developing (89.6 aTPR)

2025: 125.8 Average True Passer Rating

17 Starts, 3,942 Yards, 27 TD, 7 INT

58.1% Comp%, 8.9 ADOT, 90.1 Rating

2024 1st Overall Pick, 1x Playoff Appearance

Many will point to Williams' completion % and express concern. But looking beyond just a cursory glace there, you will see a very successful sophomore season.

Williams took a huge leap in his deep ball. After finishing 37th in 2024 with a 28.0% adjusted completion %, he stepped his game up, finishing 9th in 2025 with a 49.3% adjusted completion deep. This was done while throwing the deep ball at essentially the same rate as 2024 (13.3% in 2024 to 12.9% in 2025).

Williams finished 5th in PFF deep ball grading, 2nd in deep big time throws, 7th in overall ADOT, t11th in big time throw %, t6th in total big time throws, and tied for 1st in deep touchdown throws.

His aTPR saw in increase of nearly 35 points, putting together a season that saw him record a TPR below 100 just twice, done in back to back weeks against the Eagles and Packers in week 13 and 14. Hi pinnacled in week 3 with a very impressive 187.7 TPR against the Cowboys, and put together 9 total starts with a TPR above 125.

The Chicago Bears have long been searching for a legitimate franchise quarterback, and they may have finally found one.

t7.) Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles

Change in rank from 2024: ▲12, 95.6 aTPR

2025: 124.9 Average True Passer Rating

16 Starts, 3,224 Yards, 25 TD, 6 INT

64.8% Comp%, 9.2 ADOT, 98.5 Rating

3x Pro Bowl, 1x Super Bowl Champion, Superbowl LIX MVP

Jalen Hurts is a polarizing quarterback.

He made a huge jump TPR-wise from 2024 to 2025, jumping 12 spots from 19 to being tied for 7th this season, but watching his film there is something missing about his game, mainly his ability to throw over the middle. That said, he makes the most of his opportunities, does not turn the ball over (he had a career low 1.3% Int% in 2025), and (generally) limits sacks, things that all make his TPR look fantastic. Hurts did topple 200 TPR twice in the season, being only 1 of 2 quarterbacks to manage that feat.

While Hurts did only finish with 40.0% adjusted, good for t25th in the league, he made the most of the opportunities, throwing for 9 touchdowns on 25 deep completions, tying him for 5th in the league for total touchdowns deep. His very healthy 9.2 ADOT ties him for 5th in the league with Jordan Love.

There is absolutely no doubt there was some discord among the Philadelphia Eagles offensive talent, and it will be interesting to see how the unit responds in 2026. But Hurts' penchant to not turn the ball over or run into too many self imposed mistakes will keep his TPR very healthy.

t7.) Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

Change in rank from 2024: ▼6, 156.5 aTPR

2025: 124.9 Average True Passer Rating

13 Starts, 2,549 Yards, 21 TD, 7 INT

63.6% Comp%, 9.7 ADOT, 103.8 Rating

4x Pro Bowl, 3x All-Pro 2x MVP

Coming off a league best 156.5 aTPR, Lamar Jackson's 2025 season was marred with issues, mainly the issue of staying healthy. Injuries to his back, knee, ankle, hamstring and toe forced Jackson to miss 4 games this season, and play through the injuries in countless others. All those undoubtedly played a factor in the 2x MVP's decline in play in 2025, which saw him slide 6 spots to t7th in aTPR in 2025.

But flashes of the old Lamar were still there, he opened the season with back to back 170+ TPR outings (179.5, 172.0) and recorded 5 games with a TPR north of 160, including one of the few 200+ TPR outing on the season, a 201.0 against the Dolphins.

But 3 outings below a TPR of 60 dragged his average down, including a pretty awful 36.6 against the Browns in week 11.

Lamar was still in the top 12 of quarterbacks in deep level adjusted completions percentage (46.3%), and was one of the few quarterbacks in the league to not throw a single interception deep. But his big time throw % slipped from 29.6% (9th) in 2024, to just 17.0% (39th) in 2025. Again part of this harkens back to the injuries that impacted his overall mobility.

I personally expect a return to form for Lamar in 2025, and that's not to say he was awful this year, finishing 7th.

9.) Sam Darnold, Seattle Seahawks

Change in rank from 2024: ▼3, 115.4 aTPR

2025: 124.6 Average True Passer Rating

17 Starts, 4,048 Yards, 25 TD, 14 INT

67.7% Comp%. 8.7 ADOT, 99.1 Rating

2x Pro Bowl, 1x Super Bowl Champion

Sam Darnold and the Seattle Seahawks surprised me this season, fielding an elite defense, Darnold found quick chemistry with Jaxon Smith-Njigba, as Njigba put together a 119 reception, 1,793 yard, and 10 touchdown season thanks to the arm of the USC product, Sam Darnold.

Darnold was one of the league's best deep passers in 2025, hitting on 58.8% adjusted throws, 2nd only to Brock Purdy. His 97.6 PFF grade throwing deep was good for 4th overall in the league, and his 35.6% big time throw rate deep was 2nd only to Bryce Young. Darnold had an impressive 19.9 YPA throwing deep, being just 1 of 4 quarterbacks in the league to amass 1,000+ yards passing deep, despite attempting 11 less throws deep than the next best quarterback (Drake Maye, 62).

While he had some valleys with TPR, as most gunslingers do, that of which includes 4 starts with a TPR under 60, including a midseason stretch that saw 3 of 4 games below 60 and a aTPR of just 70.5. Darnold also had some of the best games on the season, climbing the 200 TPR pinnacle twice, and came just 2.1 TPR from doing it a 3rd time when he posted a 197.9 in week 6 against the Jaguars.

Darnold is the prototypical gunslinger, and while he dropped 3 spots in aTPR from 2024, with a wide receiver like JSN to pair with him, he will see success in the league for a long time.

t10.) Jared Goff, Detroit Lions

Change in rank from 2024: ▼4, 113.3 aTPR

2025: 123.1 Average True Passer Rating

17 Starts, 4,564 Yards, 34 TD, 8 INT

68.0% Comp%, 7.0 ADOT, 105.5 Rating

5x Pro Bowl

After deciding to grade Jared Goff in 2025, I learned a lot about him. Goff, in my opinion, is the premier "point guard" quarterback in the league, distributing the ball to his playmakers accurately and regularly, which is reflected in his 3rd best completion % and league leading 80.2% overall adjusted completion %.

While not known as a deep thrower, attempting just 40 throws on the year over 20 yards, he was generally accurate with them, completing them at a 50.% adjusted rate. He did, however, throw 4 interceptions deep, tied for 4th most in the NFL.

But overall he was consistent on the season, recording 12 games with a TPR north of 100, while putting up a gaudy 225.2 in week 2 against the Bears in Detroit. The kicked off a run 7 of the next 8 games where his TPR was north of 100, a stretch that saw him average 143.3 TPR over that time.

His crux, as it mostly has always been, was dealing with pressure, in games against teams with good defensive fronts or ability to generate pressure (Packers, Buccaneers, Vikings, Steelers) Goff recorded a TPR below 100, including a dismal 20.7 against the Vikings week 17.

Goff still finishes the 2025 season in the top 10 in TPR despite those struggles, and if the Lions can revamp their offensive line I can see that number climb in 2026.

t10.) Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals

Change in rank from 2024: ▼2, 111.1 aTPR

2025: 123.1 Average True Passer Rating

8 Starts, 1,809 Yards, 17 TD, 5 INT

66.8% Comp%, 8.1 ADOT, 100.7 Rating

3x Pro Bowl, 2x AP Comeback Player

Another quarterback who had his early part of the season cut short due to injury. After just 2 starts in the 2025 season, Burrow suffered a turf toe injury severe enough to lead to surgery. But once he came back Burrow was as productive as ever, throwing 15 of his 17 touchdowns in those 6 starts, recording a TPR above 100 in every start except the week 15 loss to the Ravens. But sandwiching that start was two games with a TPR above 160, and just 2 of his 8 starts on the year were starts with a TPR under 100.

While his deep ball was a bit off in 2025, hitting just 40.0% adj%, good for 32nd among all quarterbacks who attempted a deep throw in 2025, he was extremely safe throwing deep, recording 0 turnover worthy throws and of course 0 turnovers deep.

Injury concern, however, is a thing with Burrow as this is his 3rd season of 6 total where he missed significant time due to injury (2020. 2023, 2025). But a healthy Joe Burrow should see him return to form throwing deep, an area he finished 15th in adjusted completion % in 2024.

Solid Starting Quarterbacks

These quarterbacks provide reliable, above average play that keeps an offense stable. They can execute a game plan, limit mistakes, and elevate their team when needed, making them solid and trustworthy starters.

12.) Daniel Jones, Indianapolis Colts

Change in rank from 2024: ▲12, 82.2 aTPR

2025: 119.3 Average True Passer Rating

13 Starts, 3,101 Yards, 19 TD, 8 INT

68.0% Comp%, 8.6 ADOT, 100.2 Rating

2019 6th Overall Pick

What a career revival for Daniel Jones in 2025.

After a whirlwind 2024 that saw him released from the Giants, and ultimately land on the Minnesota Vikings squad as a back-up to Sam Darnold. Daniel Jones got a starting opportunity in 2025 after being out Anthony Richardson with the Colts.

Jones, for the most part, was great playing some of the best football of his career before suffering a devasting torn Achilles in week 14. He rattled off 8 consecutive starts with a TPR above 100, all of which were games that saw his TPR above 130. But a stretch of 3 games immediately following that with a TPR below 100, and 4 of his last 5 games of the season all under 100 dragged him down a bit from his torrid start, a stretch that saw him turn the ball over 8 of his total 11 times.

Jones was respectable throwing deep, completing 17 of 38 attempts with an adjusted 44.7% completion %, good for tied for 17th in the NFL. He also had a health 15.3 YPA, good for 6th in the NFL, taking advantage of having one of the leagues premier deep threats in Alec Pierce, who has averaged over 20 yards per reception the last 2 seasons.

Jones has a long road ahead of him recovering from his Achilles injury, but a huge jump rom 24th in aTPR in 2024 to 12th this year gave the Colts confidence enough to transition tag the quarterback for the 2026 season.

13.) C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans

Change in rank from 2024: ▲9, 92.7 aTPR

2025: 118.8 Average True Passer Rating

14 Starts, 3,041 Yards, 19 TD, 8 INT

64.5% Comp%, 8.5 ADOT, 92.9 Rating

1x Pro Bowl, 2023 AP RotY, 3x Playoff Appearance

C.J. Stroud had a good bounce back year after a 2024 season that was filled with struggles, which included finishing 22nd overall in aTPR. Both his touchdown % and interception % returned close to his 2023 breakout rookie levels.

Stroud was solid throughout the season, recording just 4 games with a TPR below 100 (and was just 0.4 off of making that just 3), his best game came in week 5 against the Ravens where he posted a 183.0 TPR in a 44-10 rout. Despite missing 3 starts to injury, Stroud came back and rattled off 6 consecutive starts of a TPR above 100 to close out the season, averaging 124.2 TPR per game in that stretch.

His deep ball is still regressing a bit from him rookie year levels, where he finished 3rd in adjusted completion % with a 57.9%. That number dropped to 38.7% in 2024 (28th) and finally to 37.8% in 2025 (32nd), though some inconsistencies along the offensive line, and instability of his weapons health may be playing a issue there.

His 8.5 ADOT is respectable, putting him at 14th in the league.

2026 is a big season for Stroud and the Texans, as much hinges on what route they take when it comes to his next contract.

14.) Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars

Change in rank from 2024: ▲1, 103.9 aTPR

2025: 118.1 Average True Passer Rating

17 Starts, 4,007 Yards, 29 TD, 12 INT

60.9% Comp%, 9.5 ADOT, 91.0 Rating

1x Pro Bowl

Trevor Lawrence statistically had his best season as a pro since his 2022 season, leading the Jaguars to 13 wins while throwing for over 4,000 yards, a career high 29 touchdowns and a very healthy 118.1 aTPR. First year head coach Liam Coen turned the 26th best scoring offense in 2024 into the 6th best in the league in 2025 with Lawrence at the helm.

11 of Trevor's 17 starts in 2025 were plus starts, including the rare 200+ TPR plateau, a feat he accomplished against the Jets in week 16 when he went for 330 yards, 5 touchdowns and a 208.0 TPR.

He did have a couple of rough outing in the middle of the season, namely a 40.0 against the Texans in week 10 and a 64.9 against the Cardinals in week 12, but outside those blips he had a TPR north of 86 in every other start of the year.

Lawrence finished 20th in adjusted deep ball completions, hitting them at a 43.0% rate, but 23 of his 28 deep throws were graded as big time throws, tying him for 4th most in the league with Bo Nix.

15.) Michael Penix Jr., Atlanta Falcons

Change in rank from 2024: Unranked

2025: 117.8 Average True Passer Rating

9 Starts, 1,982 Yards 9 TD, 3 INT

60.1% Comp%, 8.8 ADOT, 88.5 Rating

2024 8th Overall Pick

Penix is an interesting find here at 15, and one I did not expect. His ADOT would be good enough to be tied for 8th in the league with Jaxson Dart, and the way he limits turnovers certainly helps his TPR bottom line, throw in the fact that he was sacked just 13 times all season, and the floor raises a bit higher.

With Penix, however, injury concern remains an issue as he missed 8 games to close out the year, and with his injury history from his time playing college ball still fresh in the minds of everyone, one cannot help but wonder if this will always be an issue with Penix. The best ability is availability, as they say.

6 of Penix's 9 starts were positive TPR showings, including a 186.6 against the Commanders in week 4. The sample size my be a factor here in helping his TPR, but credit where it's due, 5 of his starts saw a TPR above 120.

His deep ball, however, was an issue in 2025. Hitting on just 8 throws past 20 yards, attempting those throws at the 36th lowest rate in the NFL. His 33.3% adjusted completion % was good for second to last in the NFL as he overall was one of the lowest graded deep passers in 2025. An area of dire improvement needed.

16.) Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Change in rank from 2024: ▼6, 110.2 aTPR

2025: 117.0 Average True Passer Rating

17 Starts, 3,693 Yards, 26 TD, 11 INT

63.2% Comp%, 8.6 ADOT, 90.6 Rating

2x Pro Bowl

Baker took a tumble out of the top 10 from 2024, and a lot of that can be attributed to an injury he sustained to his left shoulder, as well as injuries across the board to his weapons in Tampa Bay.

Baker was one of the best quarterbacks in the league across the first 11 weeks of the season, garnering MVP buzz, but after suffering an injury, and a loss to the Rams in week 12, the season took a downward swing. Before the injury Mayfield had a 17:3 TD:INT ratio. After, just 9:8 as the Buccaneers limped to a 2-5 finish, missing the playoffs.

Despite all that, Mayfield still posted a TPR above 100 in 13 of 17 contests, including his first 7 starts of the year, highlighted by a week 6 182.8 TPR against the 49ers.

Mayfield's deep ball was hit or miss all year, as he finished t25th in adjusted completion % (40.0%), but he did hit 10 touchdowns deep, good for 4th in the NFL.

One would expect a solid bounce back year for Mayfield in 2026.

17.) Jacoby Brissett, Arizona Cardinals

Change in rank from 2024: ▲11, 41.5 aTPR

2025: 116.8 Average True Passer Rating

12 Starts, 3,366 Yards, 23 TD, 8 INT

74.9% Comp%, 8.1 ADOT, 94.1 Rating

1x Super Bowl Champion

Jacoby Brissett had himself a renaissance season after a truly dreadful one in New England just a year ago. Jumping 11 whole spots on the TPR rankings, and improving his aTPR by a massive 74.3 points.

Brissett had just 2 starts with a TPR below 100, charting 99.1 and 98.4 in those two games, he was extremely consistent after taking over for long time starting quarterback Kyler Murray, even setting the NFL record for most completions in a game with 47 against the 49ers in week 11. While he doesn't have many notable games, his first start on the road against the Colts garnered him a 143.3 TPR.

His deep ball took a step in the right direction from 2024, where he finished 40th of 42 qualified quarterbacks in adjusted completions (22.2%) to 24th in 2025 (40.4%).

With Kyler Murray's release during the off-season, it looks like the job will be Brissett's in 2026.

18.) Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

Change in rank from 2024: ▼15, 133.5 aTPR

2025: 115.7 Average True Passer Rating

17 Starts, 3,668 Yards 25 TD, 10 INT

69.3% Comp%, 7.6 ADOT, 102.2 Rating

4x Pro Bowl, 1x MVP

One of the biggest fallers in aTPR for the 2025 season is Josh Allen. After finishing 3rd in the NFL in aTPR in 2024, he drops 15 spots and lands in 18th, as Allen saw his interception rate nearly double from last year, and his sack total climb from 14 in 2024 to 40 in 2025.

His highs still remain very high, recording 4 starts with a TPR over 140, and 11 of 17 starts with a TPR over 100, including opening the season with 9 of his first 10 starts with a TPR over 100, averaging 129.5 TPR in those games. But 4 of his last 6 starts in 2025 saw a TPR under 100, including 2 under 60.

Allen's deep ball was still a respectable 45.3% adjusted completion, good for 15th in the league, but it has taken a step back from years prior. It will be interesting to see if newly acquired wide receiver D.J. Moore will play a factor in helping him recoup that deep ball magic.

His ADOT also brings up some concern, after finishing 12th in ADOT in 2024 with a healthy 8.8 yards, his ADTO dropped to 7.6 in 2025, tying him with Joe Flacco for 34th in 2025.

19.) Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

Change in rank from 2024: ▲2, 94.2 aTPR

2025: 114.0 Average True Passer Rating

14 Starts, 3,587 Yards, 22 TD, 11 INT

62.7% Comp%, 8.3 ADOT, 89.6 Rating

6x Pro Bowl, 2x All-Pro, 2x MVP, 3x Super Bowl Champion, 3x Superbowl MVP

If you're familiar with Mahomes' deep ball struggles since Tyreek Hill left the Chiefs, you're familiar with why Patrick Mahomes finds himself in the middle of the pack once again with aTPR. He did have a slight improvement from 2024, jumping two spots, but for the hype Mahomes gets one would not expect him where he is on this list. And with Travis Kelce aging, one wonders if Mahomes will be able to recapture the magic of prime Mahomes 3 years prior.

Since Tyreek Hill was traded to the Miami Dolphins in 2022, Patrick Mahomes has not finished better than 29th in deep level adjusted completion %, finishing 29th in 2023, 39th in 2024, and 33rd in 2025 where he finished with a 37.7% rate. He threw just 1 touchdown into the deep level of the field, despite 61 total attempts (11th most in the league.) He averaged just 12.1 YPA deep, 23rd in the league among company like Jake Browning, Cam Ward, and Marcus Mariota.

His TPR numbers were pretty good overall, snapping off 12 straight games of a TPR over 100 to start his season, but the usual Mahomes peaks have been few and far in-between as just 4 of those starts had a TPR above 130. And it all sort of hit a wall his final two starts before being injured where he compiled just a 48.0 aTPR over those two starts.

20.) Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers

Change in rank from 2024: ▼9, 108.3 aTPR

2025: 112.8 Average True Passer Rating

16 Starts, 3,727 Yards, 26 TD, 13 INT

66.4% Comp%, 8.3 ADOP, 94.1 Rating

2020 AP Offensive RotY 2x Pro Bowl

Just Herbert was another big faller from the 2024 TPR rankings. After finishing just outside the top 10 in 2024, at 11th, Justin Herbert fell 9 spots to settle into 20th in 2025.

Herbert, admittedly, faced a lot of adversity in 2025, getting sacked 54 times behind what was most times a patchwork offensive line. As a result he had a career worst 2.5% interception rate, and threw for the least amount of yards in a season since 2023, a season shorted by injury.

Despite all that the Chargers won 11 games, and Herbert strung together a statistically solid season.

Herbert would finish 19th in deep level adjusted completion %, hitting 43.9%, while also throwing for the 8th most touchdowns deep, with 8. This was all without the benefit of a true number one target for Herbert to rely on, as has been the case since Herbert essentially entered the league.

He's still more than capable of lighting up the TPR charts, posting 4 games with a TPR north of 150, including a 180.5 outing against, you guest it, the Dallas Cowboys.

10 of his 16 starts were positive TPR, but he had some dizzying lows, including a stretch of 4 games where he cracked 100+ TPR once, valleyed at 14.1 TPR and averaged just 67.3 TPR over that stretch. He did of course rebound afterwards, finishing the season strong with 3 straight plus performances.

Fringe Starting Quarterbacks

These quarterbacks can hold down a starting job, but only under favorable conditions. While capable of solid stretches, their performance often fluctuates, placing them just outside the league’s dependable starter group.

21.) Bo Nix, Denver Broncos

Change in rank from 2024: ▲#1 Young and Developing (113.4 aTPR)

2025: 108.6 Average True Passer Rating

17 Starts, 3,931 Yards, 25 TD, 11 INT

63.4% Comp%, 8.0 ADOT, 87.8 Rating

2024 12th Overall Pick, 2x Playoff Appearance

Nix is one of the more polarizing quarterbacks in the NFL. His raw stats look great, leading the 2024 draft class of quarterbacks in yards, and touchdowns. But some of the underlying metrics are a cause for concern. He is 23rd of 26 quarterbacks in YPA in 2025, and 21st in ANY/A. No quarterback in the NFL has attempted more passes than Nix since he came into the league, and no quarterback in the league has attempted more throws behind the line of scrimmage since coming into the league, either.

He has a decent adjusted completion % deep, sitting tied for 17th with a 44.7%, and he did tie for the league lead in deep level touchdown passes, tying with Matthew Stafford and Caleb Williams.

Only 9 of his 17 starts had a TPR above 100, but did see some pretty high peaks, recording a 193.6 against the Cowboys and a 180.1 against the Packers. And while he did record 8 games below 100 TPR, 6 of those 8 were above 80 TPR, with only 1 truly bad outing against the Chargers in week 18, where he posted a 21.5.

A broken ankle ended Nix's season after the Divisional win against the Bills, leaving some concern about his mobility as we move into the 2026 season.

22.) Aaron Rodgers, Pittsburgh Steelers

Change in rank from 2024: ▼3, 95.8 aTPR

2025: 106.6 Average True Passer Rating

16 Starts, 3,322 Yards, 24 TD, 7 INT

65.7% Comp%, 6.4 ADOT, 94.8 Rating

10x Pro Bowl, 4x All-Pro, 4x MVP, 1x Super Bowl Champion

After a lot of off-season drama involving "will he, won't he", Aaron Rodgers signed with the Pittsburgh Steelers for his 21st season in the NFL.

On the surface the numbers looks good, over 3,000 yards, 24 touchdowns to just 7 interceptions, and a completion % near 67%. But once you get past that you see some underlying issues.

First, of quarterbacks to make 11 over more starts, his ADOT was dead last at 6.4, his YPA was t28th at 6.7. His deep ball has been on a steady decline, as he finished 21st in the league in adjusted completion % with a 42.3%, but he did, however, throw 9 touchdowns deep, t5th in the NFL.

While 11 of his 16 starts saw his TPR over 100, we rarely saw those vintage Aaron Rodgers peaks, as he cracked a TPR north of 150 just once all season, doings so at home against the tough Cleveland defense.

His season came to a deflating end with a loss to the Texans in the playoffs, and while it seemed as if he was done with his career after that, rumors are swirling once more that he might not be done yet.

Only time will tell.

23.) Spencer Rattler, New Orleans Saints

Change in rank from 2024: Unranked

2025: 99.5 Average True Passer Rating 8 Starts, 1,586 Yards, 8 TD, 5 INT

67.7% Comp%, 8.3 ADOT, 86.5 Rating

2024 105th Overall Pick

Spencer Rattler was given the reins of the New Orleans offense in late 2024, which carried over into 2025 where he would get to start the first 8 games of the 2025 season. With rookie quarterback Tyler Shough waiting in the wings, the pressure was on for Rattler to deliver in a tough environment.

Unfortunately for Rattler, he did not do enough, as he was benched midway through the year as Tyler Shough would start the final 9 games, and look good doing so.

Rattlers issues lie in his inability to push the ball down field. While he owns a decent 8.3 ADOT, his adjusted deep completion % was just 34.4%, t39th of 42 qualified quarterbacks, and his 6.2 YPA ranked him t36th in the league, despite a completion % that put him in the top 10 of the league. Meaning the majority of Rattler's completions were empty calorie throws.

While he did record 4 games of a TPR over 100, he has the lowest peak TPR of any starting QB with 8 starts or more, a 131.2, which he recorded against the 49ers in week 2.

As things stand it looks like Rattler will be the backup situation in New Orleans as Tyler Shough handedly won the starting job from him

24.) Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders

Change in rank from 2024: ▲#1 Young and Developing (90.9 aTPR)

2025: 97.1 Average True Passer Rating

7 Starts, 1,262 Yards, 8 TD, 3 INT

60.6% Comp%, 7.8 ADOT, 88.1 Rating

1x Pro Bowl 2024, AP Rookie of the Year, 2024 2nd Overall Pick, 1x Playoff Appearance

Jayden Daniels' rookie of the year campaign saw him lead all rookies in TPR in 2024. His 2025, however, was marred by injuries, and inconsistant play, often as a result of those injuries. Daniels suffered 4 separate injuries in the season, completely derailing his, and the Commanders seasons.

3 of his 7 starts had a TPR above 100, he plateaued in a fantastic road win against the Chargers with a 147.9. He has a solid stretch of 3 games in that time frame, with his lowest TPR coming in at 96.0. But another injury would force Jayden to miss the next 7 games of the year. And upon coming back for his final 2 starts of the year would post a TPR high of just 69.3.

In limited play Jayden did hit on 57.9% of his adjusted deep throws a mark good for 3rd in the league, which was a huge improvement from 2024, which saw him hit on only 39.6%, 27th in the league.

With Kliff Kingsbury gone, it's a big prove it year for Jayden Daniels, for not only his durability, but his overall ability.

Unplayable Quarterbacks

In this tier are players whose performance makes it nearly impossible to sustain an effective offense. They lack the tools needed to operate at a professional standard, rendering them unplayable in meaningful situations.

25.) Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins

Change in rank from 2024: ▼3, 93.1 aTPR

2025: 93.6 Average True Passer Rating

14 Starts, 2,660 Yards, 20 TD, 15 INT

67.7% Comp%, 7.2 ADOT, 88.5 Rating

1x Pro Bowl

Tua's time in Miami, has come to a close. After a productive career in South beach that saw him throw for over 18,000 yards and 120 touchdowns, the Dolphins decided to move on from the Alabama product, eating $99m in dead cap by releasing him.

Tua's struggles have been well documented the past 2 seasons, as his efficiency and health have taken hits. He was second in the league in interceptions thrown, despite being benched for the last 3 games of the year in favor for rookie Quinn Ewers.

He finished t22nd in adjusted deep completion % (40.5%) and threw a league leading 6 interceptions deep, along with a league leading 8 turnover worthy throws.

While he did post 8 games with a TPR over 100, his lows were brutal, which include 2 starts where his TPR did not crack double digits, with one of those being a -6.6 against the Colts week 1. He rebounded nicely against the Panthers and Falcons posting a 140+ TPR, but overall inconsistency and his ball insecurity lead to his benching, and eventual release.

26.) Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals

Change in rank from 2024: ▼14, 106.8 aTPR

2025: 93.2 Average True Passer Rating

5 Starts, 962 Yards, 6 TD, 3 INT

68.3% Comp%, 6.4 ADOT, 88.6 Rating

2x Pro Bowl, 2019 AP Offensive RotY

The Kyler Murray era in Arizona ended not in a bang, but a fizzle. Murray would make just 5 starts in 2025, as he dealt with inconsistant play and a foot injury. Journeyman Jacoby Brissett would take over signal calling duties, and by the off-season Murray would be released from the Cardinals.

His performance saw his aTPR drop from 12th overall in 2024 to 26th in 2025. Just 1 of his 5 starts were above replacement level TPR, his week 2 start against the Panthers.

He finished 26th in adjusted deep completion percentage (43.8%), albeit in a limited level as he attempted just 16 deep throws on the year. His ADOT was near bottom of the league at 6.4, finishing t42nd, ahead of just Aaron Rodgers and Brady Cook of quarterbacks who had 20% of 680 drop backs.

One wonders where Kyler will end up in 2026, rumors swirling regarding Minnesota, giving Kyler, perhaps the best offensive support and coaching he's got to work with.

27.) Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers

Change in rank from 2024: ▼4, 89.4 aTPR

2025: 92.5 Average True Passer Rating

16 Starts, 3,011 Yards, 23 TD, 11 INT

63.6% Comp%, 7.0 ADOT, 87.8 Rating

2023 1st Overall Pick, 1x Playoff Appearance

Year 3 for Bryce Young saw his best statistical output to date, setting career highs in completion percentage, touchdowns, rating and yards, as well as aTPR, where he finished 92.5, a 3.1 point increase from 2024.

But the overall shift in TPR saw Bryce drop 4 ranks from 2024. His deep ball, on the surface was excellent, being graded PFF's 2nd highest deep ball thrower, with an adjusted completion % good for 5th in the league (56.1%). But he attempted those deep throws at one of the lowest rates in the league, just 8.3% of his throws into that area of the field, 39th of 42 qualified quarterbacks, and second to last among fulltime starting quarterbacks only to Jared Goff.

He was 34th in YPA, and 29th in ANY/A, while being 39th in ADOT, meaning more often than not Bryce was throwing underneath, before the sticks.

This lead to fairly modest TPR numbers, where he only posted a season high of 146.5 posted against the Cowboys (there seems to be a trend there with quarterbacks posting season high TPR numbers against the Cowboys passing defense). He did end the season posting a TPR above 100 in 4 of his 5 starts, positively trending in the right direction as the Panthers made the playoffs the first time with Young under center.

28.) Geno Smith, Las Vegas Raiders

Change in rank from 2024: ▼11, 95.9 aTPR

2025: 87.8 Average True Passer Rating

15 Starts, 3,025 Yards, 19 TD, 17 INT

67.4% Comp%, 6.9 ADOT, 84.7 Rating

2x Pro Bowl, 1X AP Comeback Player

After a career renaissance in Seattle, Geno Smith was shipped off to Las Vegas to work with Pete Carroll, a fresh start for Geno after things essentially ran their course with the Seahawks.

But things for the Raiders and Geno Smith came crumbling down rather quicky, as Smith threw a league leading 17 interceptions, and was benched the last game of the season in favor of Kenny Pickett.

Smith did see some early success in the year, but could never sustain it. He started the season with 2 starts with a TPR north of 150, but also saw 2 starts with a TPR under 60, including a 26.5 against the Bears. Of his next 12 starts he would only record 2 starts with a TPR above 100.

His struggled with the deep ball did not help him much either, finishing t29th in adjusted completion % (27.8%) while throwing the 2nd most deep interceptions in the league.

All this culminated in Smith dropping 11 ranks to 28th overall in aTPR for 2025.

Smith gets another crack at it in New York after being traded to the Jets this off-season.

29.) Justin Fields, New York Jets

Change in rank from 2024: ▼4, 80.5 aTPR

2025: 61.7 Average True Passer Rating

9 Starts, 1,259 Yards, 7 TD, 1 INT

62.7% Comp%, 7.2 ADOT, 89.5 Rating

2021 11th Overall Pick

I think this may be the end of any meaningful starting time for Justin Fields.

The 5th year quarterback struggled, continuing a downward trend of quarterbacking play for the former Pittsburgh Steeler and Chicago Bear. He was eventually benched in the favor of Tyrod Taylor and then eventually undrafted rookie Brady Cook would close out the season for the Jets.

While Fields did post 5 starts with a TPR above 100 in 2025, including a fantastic 156.2 TPR in his season debut against the Steelers, his lows were absolutely dismal, which include 4 starts where his TPR was below 10.3, including and absolutely brutal -53.9 against the Denver Broncos in week 6. All this lead to Fields being dead last among qualified starters in aTPR.

He was ranked t36th in deep ball adjusted completion % (35.3%) and 39th in PFF grading for deep throwing, among names like Carson Wentz, Davis Mills and Tyrod Taylor.

And with reports of Fields being a cut candidate after the Jets acquired Geno Smith from the Raiders, it seems as if the writing is on the wall for Fields starting career.

Young and Developing Quarterbacks

Home to ascending talents, this tier features young passers learning the speed and complexity of the league. Their current play may be uneven, but their long-term upside keeps them firmly in the developmental conversation.

1.) Tyler Shough, New Orleans Saints

Change in rank from 2024: N/A

2025: 125.6 Average True Passer Rating

9 Starts, 2,384 Yards, 10 TD, 6 INT

67.6% Comp%, 8.7 ADOT, 91.3 Rating

2025 40th Overall Pick

There is a lot to like about Shough's game. After the Saints benched Spencer Rattler midway through the 2025 season, Shough came on with mostly limited weapons (Shaheed was traded before Shough took over, making the Saints' #2 WR Devaughn Vele) and did nothing but ball out.

7 of his 9 starts saw his TPR north of 100, included a 176.9 against the Panthers in week 10 and a 196.5 against the Titans in week 17. This level of play despite a clear lack of overall offense talent around gives a lot of hope for Shough to take big steps moving into 2026.

While his deep ball could use some work (39.5% adjusted completion %, 32nd of qualified quarterbacks), he had no turnover worthy throws into the deep level and the rest of his game is well rounded, especially for a rookie quarterback in a bad offensive environment. His respectable 8.7 ADOT is good for t9th in the league, and his YPA of 7.3 saw him finish t13th, a huge improvement from his contemporary Spencer Rattler, who's season saw him at 6.2, t36th in the league.

2.) Jaxson Dart, New York Giants

Change in rank from 2024: N/A

2025: 101.9 Average True Passer Rating

12 Starts, 2,272 Yards, 15 TD, 5 INT

63.7% Comp%, 8.8 ADOT, 91.7 Rating

2025 25th Overall Pick

Jaxson Dart is the newest arrival of the new wave dual threat quarterbacks in the NFL. Despite dealing with a few injuries Dart put together a respectable 2025 season that saw 24 total touchdowns (15 passing, 9 rushing) to just 5 interceptions, the first year signal caller finished up the season with a 101.9 aTPR, bolstered by a stretch of games between weeks 6 and 10 where he posted a TPR north of 100 in every game, including a 145.8 against the Eagles, falling just 0.8 shy of matching his season high TPR of 146.6 he recorded against the Commanders.

He did have a dreadful -48.8 TPR against a very talented and aggressive Brian Flores Vikings defense. A game that saw him throw for just 33 yards, and suffer 5 sacks. Rookie speed bumps.

While his deep ball needs a bit of polish (40.0% adjusted completion %, t23rd in the NFL) he graded positively overall in the area and with a healthy Malik Nabors, there's a good chance those numbers trend upward in 2026.

Dart also had issues with sacks, finishing 11th in total times sacked (35) despite only starting 13 games. Numbers that can certainly aid his TPR if they are cut down next year.

3.) Dillon Gabriel, Cleveland Browns

Change in rank from 2024: N/A

2025: 92.2 Average True Passer Rating

6 Starts, 937 Yards, 7 TD, 2 INT

59.5% Comp%, 6.4 ADOT, 80.8 Rating

2025 94th Overall Pick

Gabriel was one of two rookie quarterbacks that were both selected and played significant time under center for the Cleveland Browns.

Gabriel did not flash much for a Browns team that struggled in the passing game, recording just 1 start north of 100 TPR in his 6 starts of 2025.

It was clear Gabriel was not given free reign to throw deep, attempting just 8 throws over 20 yards in his 6 starts, completing just 2. An adjusted completion % good for just 25.0%, putting him t55th of all quarterbacks who attempted a deep throw in 2025.

After suffering a concussion in week 11, Shedeur Sanders took over the starting roll in Cleveland, and closed the season out in that role.

It's unclear what the Browns plan to do at the quarterback position in 2025, but one would imagine Sanders remaining the starting quarterback after closing out the 2025 season in that role.

4.) Shedeur Sanders, Cleveland Browns

Change in rank from 2024: N/A

2025: 79.2 Average True Passer Rating

7 Starts, 1,400 Yards, 7 TD, 10 INT

56.6% Comp%, 7.7 ADOT, 68.1 Rating

2025 144th Overall Pick

Once mocked by many as a 1st round quarterback talent, the history slide Shedeur Sanders took in the 2025 NFL draft saw him fall to the Cleveland Browns in the 5th round, who finally took the quarterback with the 144th overall pick.

Shedeur started his season as the 3rd quarterback, but after the Browns traded Joe Flacco and Dillon Gabriel suffered a concussion, Sanders got his chance.

It was a rollercoaster season for Sanders, who in 7 starts posted 3 games with a TPR north of 100, including a debut of 142.7 against the Raiders in a 24-10 win. He followed that up two weeks later with a 128.9 against the Titans. But with every peak of the rollercoaster there's a valley.

Sanders had 3 more starts that saw a TPR under 50 included a season low 14.9 against the Bears that saw him throw 3 interceptions and take 5 sacks.

Sanders did have a decent deep ball, finishing 12th in adjusted completion % with a 45.8%, but in order to take the next step there he will need to cut down on his turnover worthy throws into that area, where he finished 11th worst.

5.) J.J. McCarthy, Minnesota Vikings

Change in rank from 2024: N/A

2025: 73.4 Average True Passer Rating

10 Starts, 1,632 Yards, 11 TD, 12 INT

57.6% Comp%, 9.5 ADOT, 72.6 Rating

2024 10th Overall Pick

It was a season that didn't pan out like they had hoped for J.J. McCarthy and the Minnesota Vikings. Eschewing the chance to re-sign Sam Darnold (who went on to win a Superbowl with the Seattle Seahawks this year) the Vikings put all their chips on 2nd year quarterback.

And McCarthy, for the most part, struggled.

After a decent debut against the Chicago Bears where he posted a 107.7 TPR, he followed that up with a -26.7 disaster against the Falcons the following week. He would post another negative TPR in week 12 against the Packers with a -33.0, and a 0.9 TPR against the Giants in week 16 inspired little confidence either.

But there were positives, sandwiching the 0.9 against the Giants was 3 starts with a TPR above 100, including a season high 173.3 against the Cowboys and a 130.4 against the Commanders a week prior. These games would help McCarthy hit 5 games above 100 TPR, half of his starts.

His deep ball was also decent overall, hitting on 45.5% adjusted, good for 13th in the league, and his overall ADOT was tied for 4th best in the NFL, showing J.J.'s concerted effort to push the ball down the field. A big time throw rate of 35.1% (2nd in the NFL) echoes this. But if McCarthy wants to take the next step there, he will need to cut down on the turnover worthy throw rate, where he was 3rd worst in the NFL with a 16.2% rate.

6.) Cam Ward, Tennessee Titans

Change in rank from 2024: N/A

2025: 70.1 Average True Passer Rating

17 Starts, 3,169 Yards, 15 TD, 7 INT

59.8% Comp%, 7.8 ADOT, 80.2 Rating

2025 1st Overall Pick

I got a lot of 2024 Caleb Williams vibes from Cam Ward this year, just cranked up to the 10th degree. Ward had VERY little help in Tennessee in 2025, both through the coaching staff and talent that surrounded him. As 12 of his first 12 starts saw a TPR score under 100, including 6 starts with a TPR under 50.

But the backend of his season saw strong progress, where 3 of his last 4 starts saw a TPR above 100. (albeit one of these starts saw he play essentially one series.)

While the deep numbers aren't anything to write home about (38.6% adjusted completion %, 29th in the league) he had a respectable 89.4 PFF deep passer grade and a respectable 6.5% turnover worthy rate in the deep portion of the field for a rookie.

With some more help on offense for Ward in 2026 I'm hopeful for the 2nd year jump for Ward as he put together some nice tape to close out the season.

Final Thoughts

The 2025 TPR landscape painted a fascinating picture of just how volatile and layered quarterback play across the NFL has become. At the very top, names like Drake Maye, Matthew Stafford, and Jordan Love showed what elite efficiency and downfield aggression can look like when paired with consistency and explosive playmaking. Just below them, established starters such as Dak Prescott, Brock Purdy, Jared Goff and Joe Burrow reinforced how wide the gap can be between simply productive quarterback play and truly franchise-defining performance. At the same time, this year’s rankings also showed that reputation alone means very little in a season-long efficiency model, as several high-profile veterans found themselves outside the upper tiers due to injuries, turnovers, sacks, an inability to consistently attack all areas of the field, or a combination of all of the above.

Just as important as the player movement was the evolution of the model itself. Adjusting sack responsibility by applying an at-fault average rather than assigning every sack directly to the quarterback gave this year’s chart a more balanced and, ultimately, more honest foundation. That change helped raise the league-wide TPR average and likely offered a clearer reflection of quarterback performance independent of poor protection or surrounding offensive issues. It also served as a reminder that quarterback evaluation is never static. Metrics should continue to evolve just like the game does, and this year’s adjustment feels like a meaningful step toward making TPR a stronger and more reliable lens for comparing passers across very different situations.

Looking ahead to 2026, the biggest takeaway may be that the league is entering a period of real transition at the position. Several young quarterbacks, from Caleb Williams and Drake Maye to Tyler Shough and Jaxson Dart, are beginning to establish themselves, while some long-established veterans are either fighting decline, battling health, or nearing the end of their grip on starting jobs. The result is a quarterback landscape that feels more open than it has in years, with plenty of room for risers, rebound seasons, and surprise fallers. If 2025 proved anything, it is that quarterback play remains the defining force in the NFL, and TPR continues to offer an interesting way to track which passers are truly driving winning football.